The key to the chart above is how many NATO troops are alerted to IED locations by local Afghans. Unfortunately, that number is still very low. The US can spend billions more on armor for vehicles, but it will not do any good; roads that can handle gargantuan, indestructible troop transports are not available... unless Robert Moses rises from the dead this Easter to build a road network to traverse the rough terrain of Afghanistan. Remember, the Soviet Army was an armor heavy force and they were still defeated. NATO needs to gain the trust of the local tribes, but I'm sure all of the ivory tower counterinsurgency "expert" bloggers have said this already.
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